← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/5/2026

Fire Umbra DianaTier 2

at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/5/2026

decks
2 (5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2% avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
45.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1320 · median 1320 · range 1215–1425 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029 Q1 1218 Q3 1428 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 13.9% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.8% -0.2
Water Aetherwing 8.3% 0
Water Allies 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Crux Lorraine 5.6% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.6% 0
Water Fractal 5.6% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 5.6% 0
Fire Aetherwing 2.8% 0
Fire Genbu 2.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.8% 0
Fire Oblation 2.8% 0
Fire Slimes 2.8% 0
Fire Tera Cleric 2.8% 0
Fire Tera Diao Chan 2.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -1.0
Fire Umbra Alice 2.8% 0
Water Astra Diana 2.8% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.8% 0
Water Crux Assassin 2.8% 0
Water Umbra Alice 2.8% 0
Water Zander 2.8% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.8% 0
Wind Byakko 2.8% 0
Wind Neos 2.8% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Umbra Diana decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Penetrator Round -1.00 0 1 0
Seeker's Rifle +1.00 1 0 0
Evasive Maneuvers -1.00 0 1 0
Return to the Archive -1.00 0 1 0
Quickdraw Piercer -1.00 0 1 0
Stolen Chance -1.00 0 1 0
Under Fire -1.00 0 1 0
Undying Dreams +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Liminal Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Focusing Round +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Out +1.00 1 0 0
Umbral Tithe +1.00 1 0 0
Umbra Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Gloamspire Lance -1.00 0 1 0
Deploy Gunshield +1.00 1 0 0
Three of Hearts +1.00 1 0 0
Plated Bullet -1.00 0 1 0
Vanish from Sight +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Diana, Duskstalker +1.00 1 0 0
Unmake Duality -1.00 0 1 0
Diana, Cursebreaker -1.00 0 1 0
Tasershot +1.00 1 0 0
Cremation Ritual +1.00 1 0 0
Renascent Sharpshooter -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Backstep -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Diana, Haunt Reminiscence -1.00 0 1 0
Dodge Roll -1.00 0 1 0
Profane Bindings -1.00 0 1 0
The Looking Glass -1.00 0 1 0
Reposition -1.00 0 1 0
Abnegation -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Carter, Synthetic Reaper -1.00 0 1 0
Bauble of Abundance +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Library Witch +1.00 1 0 0
Torching Reach -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/45167/archetypes/Fire Umbra Diana